Fresno St.
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#152
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#210
Pace61.4#336
Improvement-0.3#189

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#128
First Shot-0.4#197
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#28
Layup/Dunks-3.7#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#35
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+0.1#173

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#206
First Shot-1.6#232
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#126
Layups/Dunks+4.1#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#328
Freethrows+1.4#77
Improvement-0.4#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 40 - 9
Quad 33 - 83 - 17
Quad 47 - 210 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 20   @ Oregon L 57-71 8%     0 - 1 +2.7 -10.0 +12.6
  Nov 10, 2019 140   Winthrop W 77-74 59%     1 - 1 +1.7 +6.3 -4.5
  Nov 12, 2019 228   @ San Diego L 66-72 OT 57%     1 - 2 -6.8 -11.8 +5.8
  Nov 20, 2019 43   St. Mary's L 58-68 19%     1 - 3 +0.2 +2.4 -4.7
  Nov 30, 2019 240   @ Cal St. Northridge L 72-73 59%     1 - 4 -2.3 +0.6 -3.0
  Dec 04, 2019 97   UNLV L 80-81 2OT 45%     1 - 5 0 - 1 +1.2 +4.1 -2.9
  Dec 07, 2019 42   @ Utah St. L 70-77 OT 13%     1 - 6 0 - 2 +6.3 -2.2 +9.1
  Dec 11, 2019 144   @ California L 63-69 37%     1 - 7 -1.5 +3.2 -5.7
  Dec 14, 2019 317   @ Cal Poly W 62-37 76%     2 - 7 +18.7 -8.7 +29.6
  Dec 20, 2019 329   IUPUI W 95-64 92%     3 - 7 +16.6 +11.3 +5.2
  Dec 23, 2019 78   San Francisco L 69-71 40%     3 - 8 +1.7 +1.9 -0.3
  Dec 28, 2019 220   UC Riverside L 57-60 76%     3 - 9 -9.6 -7.2 -2.9
  Jan 01, 2020 7   @ San Diego St. L 52-61 6%     3 - 10 0 - 3 +9.9 -7.1 +16.2
  Jan 04, 2020 299   San Jose St. W 79-64 86%     4 - 10 1 - 3 +4.2 +7.0 -1.7
  Jan 07, 2020 139   @ New Mexico L 64-78 35%     4 - 11 1 - 4 -9.1 -5.9 -3.5
  Jan 14, 2020 7   San Diego St. L 55-64 14%     4 - 12 1 - 5 +3.8 -5.1 +7.8
  Jan 18, 2020 227   @ Wyoming W 65-50 57%     5 - 12 2 - 5 +14.2 +9.6 +8.0
  Jan 22, 2020 101   @ Colorado St. L 68-86 25%     5 - 13 2 - 6 -10.0 +0.6 -11.6
  Jan 25, 2020 77   Boise St. L 53-87 39%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -30.2 -15.5 -16.2
  Jan 28, 2020 191   @ Air Force W 79-68 48%     6 - 14 3 - 7 +12.4 +10.7 +2.9
  Feb 01, 2020 139   New Mexico W 82-77 58%     7 - 14 4 - 7 +3.9 +10.0 -6.0
  Feb 04, 2020 101   Colorado St. L 70-80 46%     7 - 15 4 - 8 -8.1 -4.3 -3.7
  Feb 08, 2020 97   @ UNLV L 67-68 24%     7 - 16 4 - 9 +7.2 +1.4 +5.7
  Feb 12, 2020 299   @ San Jose St. W 84-78 OT 71%     8 - 16 5 - 9 +1.2 -2.6 +3.0
  Feb 15, 2020 42   Utah St. L 59-71 27%     8 - 17 5 - 10 -4.7 -3.5 -2.5
  Feb 19, 2020 191   Air Force W 71-62 71%     9 - 17 6 - 10 +4.4 -0.1 +5.5
  Feb 22, 2020 80   @ Nevada L 76-78 21%     9 - 18 6 - 11 +7.6 +13.6 -6.2
  Feb 29, 2020 227   Wyoming W 63-55 77%     10 - 18 7 - 11 +1.2 -5.0 +6.8
  Mar 04, 2020 191   Air Force L 70-77 60%     10 - 19 -8.6 -2.5 -6.6
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%